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Slate warmingUpdated 5/19/2026, 2:36:39 PM (2.1h old)Auto checks: odds 30s / lineups 5m
Games Remaining15
Confirmed Lineups0
Odds Books6
Date2026-05-19

Game slate

Filter By Matchup

Sorted by first pitch when start times are available. Status badges update from your slate clock.

VIP digest

🔥 Today's Sharp Picks

Curated highlights from the slate — scan in seconds, then dig into the full lists below.

Top 3 Premium Parlays

  • Matt Vierling + Corbin Carroll + Keibert Ruiz
    +70723DraftKingsDark Horse
  • Mark Vientos + Justin Foscue + Miguel Andújar
    +50327DraftKingsDark Horse
  • Jordan Walker + Drew Romo + Harrison Bader
    +53338BetMGMDark Horse

🎓 Matchup Masters

  • Brandon Lowe
    Brandon LowePIT vs STL · Matthew Liberatore
    Model 71.8Matchup 96.5Zone 92.5
  • Mark Vientos
    Mark VientosNYM vs WSH · Foster Griffin
    Model 70.7Matchup 97Zone 92.5
  • Rodolfo Durán
    Rodolfo DuránSD vs LAD · Emmet Sheehan
    Model 65.7Matchup 97Zone 94.4

Top HR Environment

  • PHI vs CINCitizens Bank Park
    Park 0Env 74
  • NYY vs TORYankee Stadium
    Park 0Env 72
  • TEX vs COLCoors Field
    Park 0Env 68
  • CHC vs MILWrigley Field
    Park 0Env 63
  • NYM vs WSHNationals Park
    Park 0Env 62

Primary model lane

Today's Best Bets

This is the primary Project 11 HR ranking. HR Zone and the HR prop tab now anchor back to this same order before applying any specialty lenses.

1
76.7
Best Odds+210Fanatics
Power86.1
2
73.4
Best OddsN/ANo odds yet
Power86.4
3
72.3
Best Odds+425BetMGM
Power63.5
4
71.8
Best Odds+575Fanatics
Power74.4
5
71.1
Best Odds+710FanDuel
Power59.6

Alternate HR lanes

Lowkey, Dark Horse, EV Trends

🤫 Lowkey

Nolan Arenado
+1000 / Bovada

Nolan Arenado

AZ vs SF / RHP Landen Roupp

67.7
HR Score 67.7Matchup 96.6HR Risk 46.6Zone 90.4
Matchup 96.6 / Zone 90.4Lower-profile HR fit from model, odds, matchup, and zone context.
Matt Vierling
+850 / DraftKings

Matt Vierling

DET vs CLE / LHP Parker Messick

70
HR Score 70Matchup 97HR Risk 65.9Zone 87.7
Matchup 97 / Zone 87.7Lower-profile HR fit from model, odds, matchup, and zone context.
Brandon Lowe
+575 / Fanatics

Brandon Lowe

PIT vs STL / LHP Matthew Liberatore

71.8
HR Score 71.8Matchup 96.5HR Risk 66.7Zone 92.5
Matchup 96.5 / Zone 92.5Lower-profile HR fit from model, odds, matchup, and zone context.
Bryson Stott
+710 / FanDuel

Bryson Stott

PHI vs CIN / RHP Chase Burns

71.1
HR Score 71.1Matchup 90.6HR Risk 66.8Zone 84.4
Matchup 90.6 / Zone 84.4Lower-profile HR fit from model, odds, matchup, and zone context.
Harrison Bader
+800 / BetMGM

Harrison Bader

SF vs AZ / RHP Ryne Nelson

64.4
HR Score 64.4Matchup 89.3HR Risk 67.8Zone 85.7
Matchup 89.3 / Zone 85.7Lower-profile HR fit from model, odds, matchup, and zone context.

🐎 Dark Horse

Keibert Ruiz
+950 / DraftKings

Keibert Ruiz

WSH vs NYM / RHP Nolan McLean

+950
HR Score 65Matchup 72.5HR Risk 44.1Zone 82.5
HR 65 / Pull-Air 37.5%Plus-price HR fit. Best for round robins, not all-in single bets.
Luis Arráez
+1450 / BetMGM

Luis Arráez

SF vs AZ / RHP Ryne Nelson

+1450
HR Score 56.4Matchup 71.2HR Risk 67.8Zone 73
HR 56.4 / Pull-Air 17.1%Plus-price HR fit. Best for round robins, not all-in single bets.
Nolan Arenado
+1000 / Bovada

Nolan Arenado

AZ vs SF / RHP Landen Roupp

+1000
HR Score 67.7Matchup 96.6HR Risk 46.6Zone 90.4
HR 67.7 / Pull-Air 14%Plus-price HR fit. Best for round robins, not all-in single bets.
Liam Hicks
+1050 / BetMGM

Liam Hicks

MIA vs ATL / LHP Martín Pérez

+1050
HR Score 57Matchup 56.6HR Risk 45.1Zone 91.1
HR 57 / Pull-Air 11.5%Plus-price HR fit. Best for round robins, not all-in single bets.
Harrison Bader
+800 / BetMGM

Harrison Bader

SF vs AZ / RHP Ryne Nelson

+800
HR Score 64.4Matchup 89.3HR Risk 67.8Zone 85.7
HR 64.4 / Pull-Air 22.2%Plus-price HR fit. Best for round robins, not all-in single bets.

EV Trends

Jac Caglianone
Locked In

Jac Caglianone

KC vs BOS / LHP Ranger Suarez

113.4
HR Score 51.6Matchup 59.5HR Risk 35.2Zone 86.8
EV score 100 / Barrel 11.1%Recent exit velocity, barrel, and pull-air shape watch lane.
Corbin Carroll
Locked In

Corbin Carroll

AZ vs SF / RHP Landen Roupp

111.8
HR Score 66.9Matchup 67.1HR Risk 46.6Zone 92.2
EV score 100 / Barrel 10.2%Recent exit velocity, barrel, and pull-air shape watch lane.
Jordan Walker
Heating Up

Jordan Walker

STL vs PIT / RHP Mitch Keller

112.8
HR Score 66.8Matchup 72.4HR Risk 58.8Zone 86.6
EV score 100 / Barrel 8.3%Recent exit velocity, barrel, and pull-air shape watch lane.
Garrett Mitchell
Heating Up

Garrett Mitchell

MIL vs CHC / RHP Ben Brown

115.5
HR Score 59.1Matchup 77.6HR Risk 55.3Zone 92.8
EV score 94.4 / Barrel 8.3%Recent exit velocity, barrel, and pull-air shape watch lane.
Ian Happ
Heating Up

Ian Happ

CHC vs MIL / RHP Jacob Misiorowski

108.8
HR Score 60.8Matchup 60.4HR Risk 24.6Zone 65.5
EV score 100 / Barrel 9.4%Recent exit velocity, barrel, and pull-air shape watch lane.

Full slate coverage

Best HR Look by Game

Jo Adell
LAA vs ATH

Jo Adell

LAA vs ATH / LHP Jacob Lopez

69.2
HR Score 69.2Matchup 89.9HR Risk 67.3Zone 75.5
+340 / BovadaTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Drake Baldwin
ATL vs MIA

Drake Baldwin

ATL vs MIA / LHP Braxton Garrett

66.3
HR Score 66.3Matchup 77.6HR Risk 47.1Zone 89.6
+575 / FanaticsTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Nolan Arenado
AZ vs SF

Nolan Arenado

AZ vs SF / RHP Landen Roupp

67.7
HR Score 67.7Matchup 96.6HR Risk 46.6Zone 90.4
+1000 / BovadaTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Pete Alonso
BAL vs TB

Pete Alonso

BAL vs TB / RHP Griffin Jax

62.5
HR Score 62.5Matchup 96.9HR Risk 35.8Zone 90.1
+475 / BetRiversTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Willson Contreras
BOS vs KC

Willson Contreras

BOS vs KC / LHP Bailey Falter

60.2
HR Score 60.2Matchup 71HR Risk 44.6Zone 76.9
+500 / BetMGMTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Michael Busch
CHC vs MIL

Michael Busch

CHC vs MIL / RHP Jacob Misiorowski

61.4
HR Score 61.4Matchup 64HR Risk 24.6Zone 70.7
+500 / BetMGMTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Kyle Schwarber
PHI vs CIN

Kyle Schwarber

PHI vs CIN / RHP Chase Burns

76.7
HR Score 76.7Matchup 84.9HR Risk 66.8Zone 84.3
+210 / FanaticsTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Kyle Manzardo
CLE vs DET

Kyle Manzardo

CLE vs DET / RHP Keider Montero

72.3
HR Score 72.3Matchup 78.4HR Risk 70.7Zone 91.5
+425 / BetMGMTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Justin Foscue
TEX vs COL

Justin Foscue

TEX vs COL / LHP Sammy Peralta

65.1
HR Score 65.1Matchup 62.9HR Risk 62.8Zone 72.5
+760 / DraftKingsTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Drew Romo
CWS vs SEA

Drew Romo

CWS vs SEA / RHP Bryce Miller

63.1
HR Score 63.1Matchup 90.4HR Risk 56Zone 74.2
+850 / BetMGMTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Byron Buxton
MIN vs HOU

Byron Buxton

MIN vs HOU / RHP Lance McCullers Jr.

73.4
HR Score 73.4Matchup 76HR Risk 73.9Zone 90.2
N/A / No odds yetTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Rodolfo Durán
SD vs LAD

Rodolfo Durán

SD vs LAD / RHP Emmet Sheehan

65.7
HR Score 65.7Matchup 97HR Risk 60.2Zone 94.4
N/A / No odds yetTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Mark Vientos
NYM vs WSH

Mark Vientos

NYM vs WSH / LHP Foster Griffin

70.7
HR Score 70.7Matchup 97HR Risk 76.5Zone 92.5
+448 / DraftKingsTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Aaron Judge
NYY vs TOR

Aaron Judge

NYY vs TOR / RHP Dylan Cease

65.4
HR Score 65.4Matchup 80.3HR Risk 52Zone 93.3
+265 / FanaticsTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.
Brandon Lowe
PIT vs STL

Brandon Lowe

PIT vs STL / LHP Matthew Liberatore

71.8
HR Score 71.8Matchup 96.5HR Risk 66.7Zone 92.5
+575 / FanaticsTop model HR profile for this game from the full slate.